What will happen in the British-Iran Hostage Situation?

Rules
1. Stocks with the highest prices are most likely to occur.
2. Stocks will payout as they occur or don't.
3. A stock winning will not nullify other stocks so long as they don't conflict.

Stock	Prob.	Last	Chg
British Hostages Iran Released July 31	12.79%	$12.79	0.00	Buy Sell
Sectors: current_events world
Volume: 0
Current Position:
British Hostages Iran Released May 31	12.41%	$12.41	0.00	Buy Sell
Sectors: current_events world
Volume: 0
Current Position:
British Hostages Iran Released April 30	12.35%	$12.35	0.00	Buy Sell
Sectors: current_events world
Volume: 0
Current Position:
British Hostages Iran Released June 30	0.00%	$0.00	0.00	Buy Sell
Sectors: current_events world
Volume: 0
Current Position: